PERFECTLY HEDGED BLOG

Samuel Basi Samuel Basi

The Fed, USD, & The Price of Commodities

All eyes have been on the FED as they decide when, and by how much to reduce interest rates. Now they have started their rate cutting cycle, it is ever more important to understand the relationship between interest rates, the USD, and commodity prices.

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Samuel Basi Samuel Basi

Tripartite Agreements (TPAs)

An issue that gets brought up frequently by commodity companies is their ability to finance the initial margin and variation margin required by their hedges - just ask a broker how many times a day they get requests to extend additional credit! Tripartite agreements are an excellent solution to this problem and this article breaks them down for all involved. Not only can they drastically reduce the cash burden on commodity companies, but they also offer increased protection to the brokers and the commodity financing banks. The fact that TPAs are not a standard requirement from all commodity finance banks prior to financing physical material is a missed opportunity in my opinion.

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Samuel Basi Samuel Basi

Spread Risk & Spread Cards

Commodity companies face a major risk that if not managed correctly, can easily negate the profits generated by their physical trading activity. I am talking about spread risk.

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Samuel Basi Samuel Basi

Types of Futures Orders

Familiarizing yourself with the different types of futures orders you can place will drastically improve your comfort levels and ability to handle this volatile environment. This article breaks down some of the more common futures trade order types using simple examples.

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Samuel Basi Samuel Basi

Simple Option Contracts For Hedging

Companies that are open to a certain amount of price risk can look to the options market to provide a guarantee of a hedge position while still allowing room to take a speculative position on the outright price of a commodity.

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Samuel Basi Samuel Basi

Market Holidays: Same Commodity, Different Exchanges

When trading a commodity such as copper that trades across multiple exchanges such as the LME, CME, and SHFE, holding open positions on days one exchange is closed, but other exchanges are open can pose a significant challenge when comes to speculative, or hedging positions.

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Samuel Basi Samuel Basi

What is Slippage?

You may have heard about slippage in your contracts and not fully understood. Or you may have been on the rough end of a phone call with a customer, not understanding why they are upset with their price. Here we break down into simple terms what to expect and how you can take a proactive approach

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Samuel Basi Samuel Basi

Aluminum Premium Hedging

This article goes through what premium swaps are, how they work, and how companies utilize them to their advantage. Everyone involved in the aluminum industry: producers, end consumers, and traders should all have a clear understanding of this instrument that can be hugely beneficial to their business. From a pure hedging perspective to a speculative one, premium swap contracts play a key role in the aluminum markets globally.

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Samuel Basi Samuel Basi

Yen Carry Trade

One of the most talked about stories of the last few weeks has been the Yen carry trade. This article breaks down what the carry trade is using real-life examples, discusses exactly what went wrong, and shows how investors could have mitigated some of those risks.

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Samuel Basi Samuel Basi

CME Warrants

Most of the details regarding CME warrants are the same as on the LME, however there are some differences worth familiarizing yourself with if looking to utilize the CME for physical trade.

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Samuel Basi Samuel Basi

LME Warrants

Warrants are a key part of the metals trading world, however they are also often misunderstood. This article looks at a this key feature of the LME and how they relate to futures contracts.

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Samuel Basi Samuel Basi

The Energy Transition

The energytransition is coming. This is not a political statement, this is not about climate change, or even a view on green energy vs. fossil fuels, it is simply a fact that the world is transitioning to the next phase of power generation. With that comes an enormous pressure on demand for certain commodities. Whether it is tomorrow, a month, a year, or several years from now, prices for base metals and other critical materials are likely to skyrocket from today's levels. I don't see many analysts that are predicting $9k copper in 5+ years time, in fact there have been frequent calls for $15k, $20k, even $40k copper in the coming years as supply struggles to keep up with demand. And copper is just one of a number of metals that will be critical to these developments.

A problem with betting on higher prices right now is there are very few entities with deep enough pockets to withstand 10+% downswings (as we've seen from the liquidations over the last few weeks). There are however certain governments that have both very deep pockets, and a vested interest in the energy transition that could be taking advantage of this opportunity.

Whether the infrastructure required (electrical grids, charging stations, etc.) will be publicly funded, or public-private partnerships, governments (and therefore taxpayers) have huge exposures to these prices and should be taking a serious long-term approach to prices for energy transition metals and building hedging programs in order to protect themselves over the years to come. Failure to do so will likely result in billions of additional cost, and that's just for the projects that have already been established.

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Samuel Basi Samuel Basi

How Traders Make Money: Scrap Metal

While scrap trading can be a lot more niche of a market than refined metal or concentrates trading, the margins (when traded correctly) can be well worth the time and effort this type of trading requires.

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Samuel Basi Samuel Basi

How Traders Make Money: Refined Metal

There are many different ways of extracting profits from a physical deal such as spread trading, arbitrage, QP adjustments, and more which are covered extensively in our courses. In this article we will go through the primary source of profit for refined metal traders.

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Samuel Basi Samuel Basi

Foreign Exchange Hedging

Risk mitigation doesn't stop at metal prices, foreign exchange (FX) risk plays a vital role in ensuring companies are correctly hedged. Making sure you understand these risks is crucial in the global landscape we trade in.

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Samuel Basi Samuel Basi

Over the Counter Vs. Exchange Traded

For most people, over-the-counter (OTC) means they're heading to the pharmacy to buy something to cure their cold without a tedious visit to their doctor for a prescription. But for those in the trading world, the term OTC has an entirely different meaning.

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Samuel Basi Samuel Basi

Hedging Without Futures

For some commodities, hedging price risk using futures is not straight-forward. Here we discuss some scenarios that lead to companies taking a different approach to their risk mitigation.

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Samuel Basi Samuel Basi

Managing A Hedge Desk

What exactly goes into managing a hedge desk? This crucial part of commodity companies often does not get the attention or credit it deserves. Let's take a look at some of the functions of this desk.

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Samuel Basi Samuel Basi

Exchange Brokers

Brokers are the intermediaries between clients and the exchange. Here we take a look at some of the roles and functions of brokers which are key to understand when looking at risk management.

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